Headline Of The Week Weak
Filed under: Headline of the Week
"Can Obama win popular vote but lose election?"
Make sure you get out and VOTE today! CLICK HERE to read the article accompanying this headline.
[Image via WENN.]
Can Obama win popular vote but lose election?
It's a nightmare scenario for Democrats — their nominee Barack Obama winning the popular vote while Republican John McCain ekes out an Electoral College victory. Sure, McCain trails in every recent national poll. Sure, surveys show that Obama leads in the race to reach the requisite 270 electoral votes to win the presidency.
Sure, chances of Republicans retaining the White House are remote.
But some last-minute state polls show the GOP nominee closing the gap in key states — Republican turf of Virginia, Florida and Ohio among them, and Democratic-leaning Pennsylvania, too.
If the tightening polls are correct and undecided voters in those states break McCain's way — both big ifs — that could make for a repeat of the 2000 heartbreaker for Democrats that gave Republicans the White House.
In 2000, Democrat Al Gore narrowly won the popular vote by 537,179 votes. But George W. Bush won the state-by-state electoral balloting that determines the presidency, 271 to 266. The outcome wasn't clear until a 36-day recount awarded Florida, then worth 25 electoral votes, to Bush by just a 537-vote margin.
Before the 2000 election, political insiders had speculated just the opposite, that perhaps Bush would win the popular vote but lose the presidency to Gore.
One day before the 2008 election, Obama sat atop every national poll.
Enthusiastic by all measures, the Illinois senator's Democratic base was expected to run up the score in liberal bastions of party strongholds such as New York and California.
But the race appeared to be naturally tightening in top battlegrounds that each candidate likely will need to help them reach the magic number in the Electoral College, electoral-rich Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia among them.
To win, McCain must hold on to most states that went to Bush in 2004, or pick up one or more that went to Democrat John Kerry four years ago to make up for any losses. McCain's biggest target for a pickup is Pennsylvania, which offers 21 votes and where several public polls show Obama's lead shrinking from double digits to single digits.
McCain faces a steep hurdle. Obama leads or is tied in a dozen or so Bush-won states, and has the advantage in most Kerry-won states.
The Republican's campaign argues that as national surveys tighten, McCain's standing in key states also rises and that, combined with get-out-the-vote efforts, will lift McCain to victory in Bush states and, perhaps, others.
"What we're in for is a slam-bang finish. … He's been counted out before and won these kinds of states, and we're in the process of winning them right now," Rick Davis, McCain's campaign manager, said Sunday.
Obama's team is awash in confidence.
"We think we have a decisive edge right now" in states Bush won four years ago, said David Plouffe, Obama's campaign manager.
There's still another possibility, perhaps more improbable than the first — that McCain wins the popular vote while Obama clinches the White House.
True, Democrats have been fired up all year.
True, Republicans haven't been.
True, Obama and McCain have been faring about even among independent voters.
But there are signs that the GOP's conservative base has rallied in the final stretch and these voters usually turn out in droves, even if lukewarm on the candidate.
Then there's the question of a tie in the Electoral College. In that case, members of the next House would select the winner.
If Obama carries every state that Democrat John Kerry won in 2004, plus Iowa, New Mexico and Nevada, then he and McCain each would have 269 electoral votes. A tie also would result if McCain takes New Hampshire from the Democrats' column but loses Iowa, New Mexico and another state that Bush won, Colorado.
In an election year that's defied conventional wisdom time and again, anything can happen.
Sure, we can fuck him the same way we fucked Al Gore!
perez, if you are in liverpool, how are you voting???
1st???
Somebody better get over here and drop!
hope not..
and i'm not even american
go OBAMA!
THOSE FUCKEN ILLUMINATI REPTILIAN CHEATERS R FULL OF SHIT
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It's gonna be a close one! I can't wait to watch the results coming in tonight.
if mccain wins i am moving… along with alot of people, there will be noone left in america! Well at least there will be older rich white males left!
OMG! I hope he does win. It seems to good to be true. I'm really scared….VOTE PPL. This is gonna be one tight race.
im so excited! yay obama!
Go barack!!! Im not scared of a mccain presidency, i just think that sarah palin, is a terrible candidate, what about ron paul or mick romney for vp? why her?
I think its time to give democrats the chance to change our economy and make decisions
Re: marlana.xo – Absentee ballot? Early voting?
5 in a row, bitches, tell me how my ass tastes!
Re: marlana.xo – perez early voted!! duh. i think he only mentioned it a million times so far
i will be so glad when this shits over
I voted, now i'm avoiding worrying about anything. I've done my part SO CAN WE JUST LEAVE IT ALONE AND SUFFER THE CONSEQUENCES TOMORROW?
I think i'm going to go play with my boobies now. Hopefully no one will visit me in my cube…
Can you say "Hanging Chad" .
Of course he can. That's the problem with the Electoral college. It was originally established so wealthy land owners got a larger "vote" — it was meant to provided a larger share to those who owned more land.
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In this day and age, the electoral college 1) dissuades people from voting ("why bother when my vote doesn't count since I live in a Red/Blue area different from my vote", and 2) unfairly gives people in rural NW states a "more weighted vote."
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Should be everyone's vote counts the same. Currently with the Electoral College, it doesn't.
Re: marlana.xo – abstentee ballot
Re: jamel –
ABSOLUTELY!!!!
Re: Tell me how my Ass tastes! –
i TOLD you…
like buttah…
Re: jamel – don't u mean MIT romney…dumbass thank god u r a dem…
Uhm, of course he can. Don't you know anything Perez? I voted this morning. McCain/Palin! Obama is a sack of shit loser that doesn't have enough experience to even LOOK at the white house.
mitt** cant spell today…terriefied of an obama presidency
Re: Ms. McGillicutty – You're not the only one!!
No crying when your boy loses bitches!
Haha yes!
GO MCCAIN!!! YAYYY
Alright!…all fuckin Obama supports will get presents this year! Vote Bitches!
-Mr. Fuckin Santa
Hey where i live ( in a blue state ) everybody is saying that they're voting obama but then i find out they're not.. so sorry democrats…..
The electoral college does not have to follow the popular vot e- that is what makes every presidential election a scary thing - the elite can do whatever they want. Those electoral voters are PEOPLE and they are bribable … it is a joke the entire voting process.. machines that leave "chads" machines that can be tampered with - voters being paid to vote - its a damn shame… I believe when you file your taxes you should place your vote for president and this way ONLY taxpayers regardless of their criminal history or immigrations status or whatever CAN VOTE - PAY TO PLAY
I voted!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! May the best man win. GOOOOOOOOOBAMA!!!!!
Re: Tell me how my Ass tastes! – Oh they won't just cry, they'll be screaming conspiracy! That's what they do when they lose, ya know?? It's going to be a horrific mess. But like I said yesterday, there are A LOT MORE McCAIN SUPPORTERS THAN THE MEDIA WOULD LIKE YA'LL TO KNOW ABOUT!!!! BBBuuuuuuaaaaaahhhhhhh. And I see ya'll are already getting your "conspiracy" thoughts together. Good, you're gonna need them!!!
ANYONE BUT OBAMA 08
McCain supporters in my area are desperate, they're slashing people's tires so they can't make it to the polls
For all those who want to move if McCain wins, pack your bags for Cuba or North Korea b/c you must like other people spending your money and making your decisions. Buena Suerte!
I really hope he looses . . . McCain/Palin 08!!
Go OBAMA!!!! F*CK McCain N Palin!!!!!!!
Re: marlana.xo – he already posted a vlog about voting early . . .
Don't drink the Kool-Aid people! Yes, it's "cool" and "hip" to vote for the cute young black guy, but we want a commander in chief, not a dreamer w/ "beliefs!" Hope is nice, but actions speak louder than words and I'm terrified of the Unknown that is Obama.
lol@Al Gore getting fucked. What a crock of shit.
Fuck Obama.
Didn't Obama lost the popular vote to Hillary?
Americans please make the right decision and VOTE for Barack Obama. America's present/future(Obama) and America's past (McCain) has NEVER been so clear. Obama represents youth, glamor, INTELLECT, sophistication, the FUTURE and McCain represents old school dogma of war and wealth. Obama runs on a theme of hope, inspiration and change, while McCain runs on a theme of national division, hate, fear and xenophobia. Please rise above what the world thinks of you: that you are arrogant, simple-minded, anti-intellectual bigots.
The world is watching.
Re: GA_Dawgette – Ha…there you go insulting someone for their spelling and you get it WRONG yourself. Thank god you're a Repube. We're voting your asses OUT today!
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Re: Tell me how my Ass tastes! – #5 I don't eat male ass, but i hear it taste like a no life loser whos sole purpose in life is to get #1 on a perez blog. Loooooooooooooooooooser.
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Can't wait till Obama is elected President, really want to see what you loser repubes are going to say.
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Obama/Biden 08 baby!!! Get ready repubes, it WILL happen….DEAL WITH IT!!
i think we should abolish the electoral college all together.
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or maybe we should just let the candidates fight to the death. that'd be more entertaining.
Re: Tell me how my Ass tastes! –
I looked in Bill Clintons eye last week and I can see how someone might fucking ask him ..will you take me to the OVAL OFFICE! He
looks into your SOUL, AMAZING, fuck shit fuck.
Obama can lose and it's call the FUCKING REPUBLICUNT WAY..HAHEEHEHE
THERE IS NO DOUBT IN MY MIND THAT HE WILL WIN!!!
Re: Tamarama –
Obama's carma is fucking coming back to him. He took Hilary's glory and used her. The Republicunts will win this race just like
I predicted long ago. Obama took it from Hilary, now McCain will take it from him. Goes around fucking comes back to bite your asshole.haha
Obama 08!!!!!!
OBAMA! OBAMA!
Re: LordKain – i was corecting them on not gettin the guys name right,….not the spelling…and i corrected myself right underneath…and explained y i can't spell right today
I am caughing up blood this election has gotten so annoying!! i went to the polls today and surprise surprise a white male democrat next to me in line was screaming the signature on his voter registration thingy was not his! lol and they made him sign his signature and it was the same LOLLLLLLL GOD! I wanted to smack him hahaha! lol leave it to a liberal to want some drama..i am just so fed up with all these douche bags and i am just waiting for all the shit to hit the fan if the libs and dems dont get their way.
Re: starburst65 – Obama supporters are probably WAY more likely to do shit like that, just so you know. In my neighborhood, EVERY house with a McCain/Palin sign has had their homes and their cars egged, and they spray paint a big x over the sign. We know where MOST of Obamas votes are coming from and we know the shit they are capapble of.
OMG. how is this possible? why did no one consider this?……..this has been an arguement for probably half the elections and hillary's arguement when she lost the primary(though not the electorial college) even though she got the most popular votes. arguements start up and then everyone forgets about it.
I voted all republican for the first time. I used to be a democrat. oh and btw FUCK OBAMA
Re: CaCaCarKeys – can i get you to put that statement about leaving the US if McCain wins in a contract? so we can send you off with Akon? hmmmm LOL I would like you to keep your word if that is the case no umsss errrrsss didn't really mean it if he in fact wins:)
Obama Obama!
Barack The Vote!
Re: PIGezHIVton – the world would be a much better place if you killed yourself. Something to think about…
Re: Sassy Girl – yeah my brother in northern va called last night upset that there are obama signs all over the neighborhood but if you dare put up a McCain sign you are turned in for illegally putting up signs on your property…and its offensive! who do you think is turning McCain voters in but the dems with the signs all over their property next door.
Re: Yaddah –
" Obama represents youth, glamor, INTELLECT, sophistication, "
Alright, intellect is important, obviously and I don't think anyone will argue that….but GLAMOR!!!!!!!!! (which by the way is defined as " an exciting and often illusory and romantic attractiveness" SOPHISTICATION??????????????? What the FUCK is wrong with you. Seriously, I am not trying to be rude to you, but the mere fact that these words even come to your mind while you are pondering who should be President is frigentening AND friggin retarded. Seriously. Have you paid attention to ANYTHING or do you just watch The Hills all day. OMG. You people, I swear to god is fucking insane. I cannot even believe the level of idiocracy that has taken over this country.
ANYONE BUT OBAMA 08
I voted for the first time I'm from OHIO, I tried to early vote you would not belive the lines in Ohio for early voting. And most people were voting OBAMA.
I HOPE SO!!!!
Re: Yaddah – please, PLEASE tell me you're being sarcastic. You want people to vote for a candidate b/c they're "young, glamourous, intellctual and sophisticated?!?!?!" That's what you want in a talk show host dear. Not the leader of the free world. That is the most SHALLOW thing i've read on Perez and that's saying a LOT!!!!! This is what drinking the kool aid will do to you.
How about, "educated, experienced, intelligent, has strong convictions, good morals, honest and leadership skills."
THIS "AIN'T" AMERICAN IDOL PEOPLE!!!!!!!! If you believe Obama is the guy, good for you, but at least THINK and educate yourselves! I have to go lie down now. I'm exhausted w/ my dismay.
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OH PLEASE PEREZ DARLING!
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PALIN/MCSTAIN
A CAMPAIGN
(if they don't steal the election)
DOWN THE DRAIN!!!
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BUT DON'T FORGET TO FLUSH DARLINGS
BY VOTING TODAY FOR OBAMA/BIDEN!!!
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Re: CaCaCarKeys – BYE you thinks its better else where??? Your an idiot. I hope you do move. We have enough ignorant lazy people here living off the government .Oh Wait thats why you like Obama. He caters to you lazy people. Gotta get the free government chesse I guess
Re: Cristi –
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HEY!
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Re: mollymouse – Don't I know it. They really are a bunch of fucking idiots. Idiots I tell you. Did you see Yaddah's post???? OMG. Seriously, it seems like nothing that matters really matters to them anymore. From what I've seen here the last few weeks, PARIS HILTON probably could've actaully gotten some of these people to vote for her. It's ALARMING!
I'm headed to the gym girlie, I'll be back here in a while!!
Try not to get too worked up. Just remember, they are like retarded people. You have to feel a little sorry for them…..
All Obama needs to do to win is to win all the states John Kerry carried in 2004 and one swing state say Pennsylvania and he will have 270.
First of all- GO McCAIN!!!
Second of all- so glad to hear some Republicans speaking up!
Third of all- a small note to all you liberal assholes threatening to move: the great thing about our country is that we have the freedom to do so..so get the fuck out!!
Re: Leona$ Gho$t – LG, you are entertaining as hell! I don't care which side of the fence you're on, you are hysterical!!!
Have fun! It should get plenty crazy around here today love!
Re: Yaddah –
For someone talking about rising above being labeled as "arrogant" and "simple-minded", that was very… arrogant and simple-minded of you. How do youth and glamour represent the type of leader our country needs? And McCain running his campaign on hate, fear, and xenophobia? Come on, that's crap.
I'd rather have the Clintons back in office over Obama any day. And that is saying something.
McCain/Palin '08
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WHEN OBAMA'S ANNOUNCED OUR NEXT PEREZIDENT LG IS
DETERMINED TO TAKE THE HIGH ROAD! LG WILL SET THE BAR!
LG KNOWS HOW SHE'D FEEL IF HER CANDIDATE LOST!!!
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I sure hope he loses. He is not right for amertica, and all you Obama supporters are going to regret it!
Re: LizardKinG – Don't hold your breath dear…..
Re: Sassy Girl –
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KISSES DARLING!
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THE MCSTAIN SUPPORTERS ON HERE ARE QUITE FIERCE
AND I AM PROUD TO CALL MANY OF THEM MY FRIENDS!!!
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KISSES GA DAWGETTE, SMIRKS, MOLLYMOUSE, PUERTO RICAN
CRISTI (I ADORE P.R. AND ALWAYS STAY AT EITHER THE WYNDHAM EL SAN JUAN OR THE EL CONVENTO WHEN FORTUNATE ENOUGH TO BE ON
UR LOVELY ISLAND), AND OH SO MANY MORE!!!
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Re: junipur – 37 LOLLLL!!!
Good thing Perez is deleting conservative comments. There are multiple that were on here earlier that have since been removed. You would Perez
Re: John Mccain will save America – YOu wish fuctard.
Re: Leona$ Gho$t – LOL i thought you said you were going to a bar to celebrate, not set the bar hahahahah! You are my favorite york peppermint patty:) you are too cute! much love for LB! Team LB:)
Golly gee, today's the day. Vote for me and John McCain. Even if we don't win. I'm not going back to Alaska. I'm the next white oprah. I'm here to stay. Not going anywhere. Vote. I love Americain.
Re: Leona$ Gho$t – thanks LG….u r oone refreshing dem and its been a pleasure to go back and forth with u about everything!!
after the election i guess it goes back to poking fun at zefron
*sigh* it wont be the same!
kisses to u as well!
Done! Did it! NO LINE AT ALL!!!
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My kids watched the whole process and are so excited! They ran into school yelling "I voted!"
Awesome!
GO OBAMA!
GO OBAMA!
Here we go again - 2000 redux. Republicans are going to steal the election. Paranoid Dems. You can't lose outright - it's always those dastardly evil Republicans.
what kind of democratic country is the US??? how is it possible that the popular vote won't count, when in a democratic country people choose their leaders…… US a democratic country??? my ass
one**
damnit….ready for today to be over with….
Re: OBAMA 08 – I LOVE HEARING YOU SAY THAT LOUD AND CLEAR!
OBAMA
OBAMA
OBAMA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Re: LettyB – 50 LOVE YOU LETTY! MY PRECIOUS!
Re: CaCaCarKeys – what a stupid comment….go
Kerry won Pennsylvania in 2004. And it's not traditionally a swing state. Just like Virginia isn't traditionally a swing state. I'll gladly swap Va's 13 for Pa's 21 votes.
Re: Sassy Girl – The only person that has really ever worked me up into a true dither was last night lOl…. and it was the retarded racist as you saw first hand haha:P sorry i was just hell bent on working that person over. I let it rip and could not stop! sad thing is people like that are so stupid they don't realise how stupid they are, and then leave saying hur hur hur they won!!!! hahaha. oh well what can you do
i let off some steam 
thanks sweetie…one thing is for sure 2 years of this election has been intense and annoying and tiring. I am glad it will finally be over. and i pray the best for our country.
Re: Leona$ Gho$t – 73 I LOVE YOU LG!
OBAMA!
OBAMA!
OBAMA!
Re: LULU~* – to the contrary, it may not be the best way but it equalizes voting based on population density. If we didn't have it, the largest states could outweigh the votes in less populated states and could potentially control the election based on numbers alone. That would be unfair to rural states. As population shifts, so do electoral college votes.
Re: Leona$ Gho$t – LOL TEAM LG! I AM TIRED SORRY:) I need to crawl back into bed:P too much excitement for the little mouse haha
NOW is the time.
be a part of history.
go vote!!!!! (i know there's alot of talk about long lines at polling places - especially here in chicago - but it literally took me only 15 mins.)
vote vote vote!
I can't get over the massive amount of people saying if McCain wins they are moving… MOVE THEN. I mean if who I voted for doesn't win, I'm not going to be a fu**ing 2 year old and throw a B!tch fit! Some times we win, and some times we don't suck it up people! America is still a great place to live regardless of all the struggles we are facing right now. What a way to show your American pride by moving because you didn't get your way! I would rather be free and live in America than to go to all these other places where your restricted on what you wear, say, watch, and listen to! I think some of you just need to leave the US if you don't have any more pride for this country than that!
During the Democratic primary, Hillary Clinton stated:
"In the White House there is no time for speeches and on-the-job training. Sen. McCain will bring a lifetime of experience to the campaign and Sen. Obama will bring a speech that he gave in 2002. I think that is a significant difference."
Now she gives her total support to Barack Obama. It is truly unfortunate how politicians speak from both sides of their mouth, and, some people in America either don't hear it or they choose to ignore it and, the liberal media doesn't report it or challenge it. Politicians should be held accountable for their words. To change their position just to support their party's candidate is disingenuous and untruthful. The American people deserves better.
NObama is in for a NASTY surprise come tomorrow! I wanna see the look on his BITCH wife's when she realises she won't be leaving any nappy hairs in the presidential shower! - LC
Re: CaCaCarKeys – Move! don't let the door hit you in the ass.
Re: Cerette – you sound very angry…are you not earning enough on welfare?
Re: starburst65 – do you live in a ghetto? That's not happening in my community.
McCain! Yes we can!
I keep hearing that Obama is going to bring the country together. Meantime…the police are gearing up for riots if Obama wins or lose, McCain signs are being stolen and vandalized everywhere. Wow! Good job Obama supporters. Glad you are such a tolerant bunch.
I do not get it.